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Why Inference Matters 12x More Than Training | YC Paper Club

Y Combinator · Oct 24, 2026 · Research Findings

Inference computation is 12x more important than training computation over a model's lifespan

“the amount of inference computation becomes 12 times more important than the amount of training computation”

A YC Paper Club session argues that inference compute dominates training compute by 12x over a 2-year model lifespan, using DeepSeek V3's publicly disclosed figures (2.8M H800 hours to train vs 43K H800 hours/day of inference) as the only available data point. The argument reframes AI infrastructure investment priorities away from training toward serving efficiency. DeepSeek's reported 80% margins are cited as validation that inference optimization unlocks strong unit economics.

inference training DeepSeek compute COGS YC model-serving

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